Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sport 1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Sports18 3, Sports18, Vision+
Indonesia	MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Israel	Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al Ain

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	5.75	6.25
	1.36	5.5	6.5	Watch
	1.35	5.66	6.92
	1.37	5.73	6.26	Watch
	1.29	5.5	7
	1.36	5.75	6.97	Watch
	1.36	5.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)	5.63 ↑ (5.53)	6.63 ↓ (7.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
69.3%

Draw
16.6%

Al Ain
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

16.9%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

16.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 3. Simakan M. 27. Laporte A. 12. Boushal N. 25. Otavio 11. Brozovic M. 94. Talisca A. 20. Angelo 10. Mane S. 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	17. Eisa K. (G) 11. Mohammed B. (C) 4. Cardoso F. 3. Kouadio K. 24. Salomoni F. 16. Hashemi K. 5. Park Yong-Woo 9. Laba K. 10. Kaku 20. Palacios M. 21. Rahimi S.
Substitutes
44. Al Aqidi N. (G) 4. Al Fatil M. 19. Al Hassan A. 6. Ali M. 17. Al Khaibari A. 83. Al Najdi S. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 29. Ghareeb A. 78. Lajami A. 16. Maran M. 80. Wesley 23. Yahya A.	8. Abbas M. 18. Al Baloushi K. 72. Awad M. 13. Barman A. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 15. Erik 29. Infantino G. 46. Komari D. 6. Nader Y. 19. Sanabria M. 7. Segovia M. 70. Traore A.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Crespo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Talisca A. ⚽, Simakan M. (A),
29', Kaku 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Cardoso F. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mohammed B. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Bento (Own goal),
60', Brozovic M. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
67', Traore A. 🟨,
68', Salomoni F. ↓, Erik ↑,
79', Ronaldo C. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
79', Mane S. ↓, Wesley ↑,
79', Boushal N. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Wesley ⚽,
86', Otavio ↓, Ali M. ↑,
90+1', Hashemi K. ↓, Komari D. ↑,
90+4', 5 - 1, Talisca A. ⚽, Wesley (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Recent matches Al-Nassr is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Ain is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Nassr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Nassr is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
01.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
29.10.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
25.10.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.10.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTWW
- Al Ain FC
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
29.10.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Al Ain	3:0 ✺
UAE Football League
25.10.24	Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Ain	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.24	Al Ain - Al-Hilal	4:5 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
17.10.24	Hatta - Al Ain	0:4 ✺
UAE Football League
06.10.24	Al Ain - Al-Wahda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
11.03.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	4:4 penalties
04.03.24	Al Ain - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:0
Saudi Professional League
08.01.21	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	3:0
AFC Champions League
24.09.20	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	0:1
18.02.20	Al Ain - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2

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