Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 6

Date: 2 December 2024, Monday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Canal 11
Qatar	Al Kass Nine
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al-Sadd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.75	4.75
	1.55	4.75	4.75	Watch
	1.53	4.83	5.08
	1.53	4.76	4.96	Watch
	1.5	4.5	4.8
	1.55	4.65	5.2	Watch
	1.55	4.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	4.71 ↑ (4.37)	4.9 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
61%

Draw
19.9%

Al-Sadd
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20.3%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sadd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Sadd Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. (C) 27. Laporte A. 78. Lajami A. 83. Al Najdi S. 29. Ghareeb A. 11. Brozovic M. 94. Talisca A. 20. Angelo 10. Mane S. 17. Al Khaibari A.	22. Barsham M. (G) 5. Salman T. 16. Khoukhi B. 29. Saiss R. 6. Paulo Otavio 77. Atal Y. 4. Camara M. 7. Waad M. 14. Meshaal M. 17. Cristo 84. Afif A. (C)
Substitutes
44. Al Aqidi N. (G) 4. Al Fatil M. 19. Al Hassan A. 6. Ali M. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 12. Boushal N. 60. Haqawi S. 16. Maran M. 25. Otavio 80. Wesley	9. Abdurisag Y. 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 31. Baliadeh Y. (G) 8. Baqer A. 81. Bounacer A. 21. Giovani 18. Guilherme 96. Ounas A. 37. Suhail A. 88. Uribe M.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Sanchez Bas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
46', Lajami A. ↓, Al Fatil M. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Afif A. ⚽,
65', Ghareeb A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
65', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Otavio ↑,
66', Cristo ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
66', Salman T. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
75', Atal Y. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Saiss R. (Own goal),
89', Paulo Otavio 🟨,
90+3', Camara M. 🟨,
90+6', Al Fatil M. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 2, Ounas A. (Pen),

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Al-Nassr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Nassr is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Nassr to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nassr won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
29.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Damac	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Al-Sadd SC
AFC Champions League
26.11.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
22.11.24	Al-Khor - Al-Sadd	2:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Al Wasl - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
31.10.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sadd	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
29.04.21	Al-Sadd - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2
17.04.21	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Sadd	3:1
21.09.20	Al-Sadd - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1
11.02.20	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Sadd	2:2
16.09.19	Al-Sadd - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:1
26.08.19	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Sadd	2:1

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