Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus, SupeSport ESPN 1
Asia	—	JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Brazil	14:30	Canal GOAT
China	01:30	QQ Sports
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	COSMOTE Sport 8
India	23:00	Vision+
Indonesia	00:30	SPOTV, Vidio
Italy	18:30	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	20:30	Gotv
Malaysia	01:30	Astro Go
Mexico	11:30	FOX One
Mongolia	01:30	SPOTV
Nigeria	18:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	01:30	SPOTV
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi Arabia	20:30	Thmanyah
South Africa	19:30	SupeSport ESPN
South Korea	02:30	SPOTV
Spain	18:30	Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	20:30	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	00:30	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	12:30	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
Vietnam	00:30	SPOTV


	Al-Qadisiya		Al Fateh

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.39	4.95	6.3
	1.4	5.11	6.58
	1.38	5.09	6.9	Watch
	1.36	4.5	5.75
	1.37	4.7	6.37
	1.41	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.76 ↓ (4.88)	6.41 ↓ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
66.3%

Draw
19.4%

Al Fateh
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

19.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Al Qadisiya - Al Fateh Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Al Fateh will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Al-Qadisiya (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Qadisiya (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Al-Qadisiya (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Qadisiya (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (G) 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 4. Thakri J. 17. Alvarez G. 8. Nandez N. 5. Weigl J. 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 20. Gabriel Carvalho 33. Quinones J.	1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 44. Fernandes J. 17. Saadane M. 78. Al Swealem A. 33. Youssouf Z. 6. Masoud N. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 28. Bendebka S. (C) 23. Wesley Delgado 10. Vargas M.
Substitutes
23. Al Ahmad W. 7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 19. Asiri H. 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I.	24. Al Aboud M. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 98. Al Fawaz A. 4. Al Jari Z. 25. Al Sahafi M. 37. Al Sarnoukh M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 12. Qasim H. 70. Refaat A.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Gomes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽, Wesley Delgado (A),
13', 1 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
39', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Gabriel Carvalho ↓, Asiri H. ↑,
69', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Jari Z. ↑,
77', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Houssa E. ↑,
77', Thakri J. ↓, Al Ahmad W. ↑,
84', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
84', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
86', Al Sahafi M. 🟨,
90+2', Vargas M. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
90+3', Baattia S. ↓, Refaat A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

Al-Qadisiya is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al Fateh has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the clear favorite.

We predict that Al-Qadisiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Qadsiah	11	8	1	2	26:12	14	25
16	Al Fateh	11	1	3	7	10:23	-13	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
03.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Al Hazem - Al-Qadisiya	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
01.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Feiha - Al Fateh	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Kholood	2:5 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Najma - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
27.09.25	Al Fateh - Al-Qadisiya	0:1
01.02.25	Al Fateh - Al-Qadisiya	1:1
23.08.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh	3:0
25.05.21	Al Fateh - Al-Qadisiya	3:0

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