Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Philippines	Matchday+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Sadd		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.47	3.35	2.7	Watch
	2.54	3.44	2.82
	2.42	3.46	2.76	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.7
	2.47	3.5	2.74	Watch
	2.47	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.85)	3.41 ↓ (3.7)	2.86 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sadd
39.5%

Draw
27.6%

Al Wasl
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

23.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Sadd's form might have worsened.

Al Wasl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Wasl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Sadd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Wasl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Al Sadd - Al Wasl Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Sadd will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Barsham M. (G) 77. Atal Y. 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 5. Salman T. 6. Paulo Otavio 14. Meshaal M. 33. Claudinho 4. Camara M. 19. Mujica R. 84. Afif A. (C)	1. Al Senani K. (G) 14. Rodrigo 4. Bouftini S. 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 25. Perez A. 6. Sidibe S. 20. Poblete G. 10. Lima F. 31. Gimenez N. 7. Saleh A. (C) 30. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
9. Abdurisag Y. 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 13. Al Yazidi A. 31. Baliadeh Y. (G) 8. Baqer A. 81. Bounacer A. 17. Cristo 21. Giovani 70. Khoder M. 37. Suhail A.	3. Al Mheiri Y. 23. Al Zaabi T. 17. Caio Canedo 9. Diallo A. 18. Ganaer M. 13. Khalil F. 33. Mijailovic S. 12. Saleh A. 77. Santos J. 11. Suroor M. 19. Uchino T. 16. Zniti A. (G)
Coaches
Sanchez Bas F.	Milojevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Lima F. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Meshaal M. ⚽, Afif A. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Atal Y. ⚽, Meshaal M. (A),
37', 3 - 1, Afif A. ⚽, Claudinho (A),
40', Perez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perez A. ↓, Saleh A. ↑,
46', Sidibe S. ↓, Mijailovic S. ↑,
61', Poblete G. 🟨,
62', Joao Pedro ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
62', Saleh A. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
62', Rodrigo ↓, Uchino T. ↑,
70', Atal Y. ↓, Suhail A. ↑,
76', Gimenez N. 🟨,
81', Salman T. 🟨,
90', Claudinho ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
90+3', Mujica R. ↓, Abdurisag Y. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Sadd is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al Wasl is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Sadd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Al-Sadd have a series of guest games.

Al-Sadd will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Sadd won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
07.03.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Sadd	0:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.03.25	Al Wasl - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.02.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	0:4 ✺
22.02.25	Al-Sadd - Al Duhail	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.25	Pakhtakor - Al-Sadd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWL
- Al Wasl FC
AFC Champions League
03.03.25	Al Wasl - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
UAE Football League
26.02.25	Khor Fakkan - Al Wasl	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Al Wasl - Al Ain	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Al Wasl - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
UAE Football League
14.02.25	Al-Nasr - Al Wasl	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
03.03.25	Al Wasl - Al-Sadd	1:1
Super Cup UAE Qatar
18.01.25	Al-Sadd - Al Wasl	0:1
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Al Wasl - Al-Sadd	1:1
02.04.18	Al-Sadd - Al Wasl	2:1
13.02.18	Al Wasl - Al-Sadd	1:2

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