Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 14

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Taawoun		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.9
	2.18	3.3	3.1
	2.07	3.42	3.47
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.52	3.43	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)	3.18 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
43.2%

Draw
27.6%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	10.5%	7.9%

Al Taawoun - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Al-Taawoun (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Shabab (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Taawoun will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Taawoun will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Taawoun (votes: 22 - 88%). Al-Shabab (votes: 3 - 12%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 55. Al Dossari M. 66. Al Hurayji B. 8. Flavio 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 11. Fulgini A. 27. Mandash S. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M.	43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 4. Hoedt W. 31. Balobaid S. 7. Hernandez U. 14. Sierro V. 8. Brownhill J. 29. Adli Y. 13. Carlos Junior 10. Carrasco Y. (C)
Substitutes
9. Adam A. 2. Al Alaeli M. 17. Al Aqel M. S. M. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 77. Hawsawi A. 24. Sembene M. 6. Victor Hugo 19. Zambrano C.	34. Al Anzi S. 23. Al Awardi A. (G) 66. Al Gulaymish N. 60. Al Otaibi M. (G) 15. Al Saadi N. 72. Al Sadi N. 63. Jaman A. 37. Matuq A.
Coaches
Chamusca P.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Carlos Junior 🟨,
18', Al Shwirekh M. 🟥,
27', 1 - 0, Martinez Tobinson R. B. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Hernandez U. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Fulgini A. ⚽, Al Kuwaykibi M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sierro V. ↓, Al Anzi S. ↑,
54', Al Sibyani H. K. A. 🟨,
67', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Matuq A. ↑,
70', Al Hurayji B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
70', Mandash S. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
79', Fulgini A. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
79', Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
82', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
85', Hernandez U. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 3.

Al-Shabab has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Taawoun could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Taawoun won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
03.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Najma	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Taawoun	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Neom	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al Fateh - Al-Taawoun	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWTW
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
03.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
23.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Rayyan	2:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
29.11.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
22.02.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2
21.09.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0
18.05.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0
02.12.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:2
27.05.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	0:3
20.01.23	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1
23.06.22	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1

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