Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Taawoun		Tractor Sazi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.02	3.19	2.34
	3.08	3.13	2.38
	3.42	2.94	2.29	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (1.65)	3.14 ↓ (3.7)	2.45 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
32%

Draw
29.8%

Tractor Sazi
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Taawoun's form might have worsened.

Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tractor Sazi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Taawoun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tractor Sazi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Al Taawoun - Tractor Sazi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tractor Sazi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Taawoun: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Atiah A. (G) 5. Mahzari M. 3. Andrei Girotto 32. Al Mufarrij M. 16. Rivas R. 8. Al Nasser S. 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 70. Sabiri A. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 38. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 99. Barrow M.	1. Beiranvand A. (G) 11. Esmaeilifar D. 33. Aghasi A. 3. Khalilzadeh S. (C) 22. Naderi M. 20. Hashemnejad M. 9. Torabi M. 8. Postonjski I. 10. Alves R. 99. Hosseinzadeh A. 19. Strkalj T.
Substitutes
9. Adam A. 21. Al Abdulraziq F. 6. Al Farhan S. 98. Al Ghamdi A. (G) 26. Al Shuayl I. 90. Bahebri H. 29. Bahusayn A. 19. Chavez Cruz L. L. 76. Fajr F. 27. Mandash S.	15. Arta A. 90. Ashouri S. 25. Drozdek D. 50. Ghanbari M. 4. Gholami A. 17. Karimazar S. 14. Kor M. 70. Najari E. (G) 5. Pourali P. 21. Pour Hamidi H. (G) 2. Shiri M.
Coaches
Al Abdali M.	Skocic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Khalilzadeh S. 🟨,
25', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
35', Naderi M. ↓, Shiri M. ↑,
41', Hashemnejad M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Alves R. (Pen),
54', 1 - 1, Barrow M. ⚽, Rivas R. (A),
57', Strkalj T. 🟨,
69', Strkalj T. ↓, Karimazar S. ↑,
80', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
80', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Bahusayn A. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Alves R. ↓, Drozdek D. ↑,
92', 2 - 1, Mandash S. ⚽, El Mahdioui A. (A),
102', Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
103', Rivas R. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
105', 2 - 2, Drozdek D. ⚽, Esmaeilifar D. (A),
115', Torabi M. ↓, Ashouri S. ↑,
115', Sabiri A. ↓, Bahebri H. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Postonjski I. (Pen),
1, El Mahdioui A. (Pen),
2, Shiri M. (Pen),
2, Barrow M. (Pen),
3, Ashouri S. (Pen),
3, Andrei Girotto (Pen),
4, Drozdek D. (Pen),
4, Adam A. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Al-Taawoun is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tractor Sazi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tractor Sazi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tractor Sazi have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Taawoun won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
08.03.25	Al-Taawoun - Damac	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
04.03.25	Tractor Sazi - Al-Taawoun	0:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
01.03.25	Al Fateh - Al-Taawoun	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWLT
- Tractor Sazi FC
AFC Champions League 2
04.03.25	Tractor Sazi - Al-Taawoun	0:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
27.02.25	Tractor Sazi - Sepahan	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Tractor Sazi - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.02.25	Tractor Sazi - Al Khalidiah	3:3 ✺
11.02.25	Al Khalidiah - Tractor Sazi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
04.03.25	Tractor Sazi - Al-Taawoun	0:0

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