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Current Win Probability
Arbil 33.5%
Draw 33.4%
Al-Talaba 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
33.2%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
33.1%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Arbil - Al Talaba Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Aribi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, Msuva S. ⚽,
90+9', Al Zubaidi H. 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Al-Talaba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Al-Talaba has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Erbil
8
5
2
1
12:3
9
17
17
Al Talaba
8
1
4
3
9:14
-5
7
Last Results with these Odds
Arbil - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Iraq
Watch
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