The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Umm-Salal 13.1%
Draw 15.9%
Al-Sadd 70.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.6%
16.9%
67.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
16.2%
64.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sadd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Umm Salal - Al Sadd Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ashour L. (G) 2. Fayez A. 15. Tahif A. 22. Udosen E. 20. Afif A. 32. El Sayed A. 6. Aholou J. 7. Mansour K. 14. Tannane O. (C) 17. Kouassi J. E. 33. Cristo
1. Al Sheeb S. (C) 20. Atal Y. 5. Salman T. 29. Saiss R. 11. Waad M. 18. Guilherme 33. Claudinho 21. Giovani 9. Roberto Firmino 7. Afif A. 19. Mujica R.
Substitutes
12. Al Bahnasawi W. 11. Al Shammari M. 26. Dayo I. 3. Hazaa A. 4. Issa S. 19. Laidouni N. 9. Mance A. 30. Mohammad J. (G) 21. Saad K. 5. Said F. 16. Suhail R. 80. Wadi M.
31. Abdullla Y. (G) 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 8. Asad A. 66. Bakri Al Ameen A. 22. Barsham M. (G) 4. Camara M. 16. Khoukhi B. 14. Meshaal M. 26. Prim P. 80. Soria A. 37. Suhail A.
Coaches
Carteron P.
Sanchez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
24', 0 - 1, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Claudinho (A),
29', 0 - 2, Afif A. ⚽, Claudinho (A),
31', 1 - 2, Udosen E. ⚽, Tannane O. (A),
36', Waad M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 3, Mujica R. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 3, Kouassi J. E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
48', 2 - 4, Giovani ⚽, Atal Y. (A),
64', Mansour K. ↓, Al Shammari M. ↑,
64', Aholou J. ↓, Mance A. ↑,
64', Afif A. ↓, Hazaa A. ↑,
65', 2 - 5, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Afif A. (A),
67', Giovani ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
67', Atal Y. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
68', Guilherme ↓, Suhail A. ↑,
70', 2 - 6, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Al Haydos H. (A),
73', 2 - 7, Claudinho ⚽, Afif A. (A),
75', Saiss R. ↓, Soria A. ↑,
75', Mujica R. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
82', Fayez A. ↓, Issa S. ↑,
82', El Sayed A. ↓, Saad K. ↑,
88', 2 - 8, Soria A. ⚽, Afif A. (A),
90+3', 3 - 8, Issa S. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 1.
In recent matches, Umm-Salal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al-Sadd's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.
In this match, Al-Sadd is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:52. (average 1.1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.1:2.2).