Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 29

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Location: King Abdul Aziz Stadium (Mecca)


	Al-Wahda Mecca		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.3
	1.9	3.9	3.4
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.96	4.04	3.5
	1.93	4.04	3.47
	1.83	3.7	3.2
	1.91	3.8	3.43
	1.89	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	3.83 ↑ (3.77)	3.49 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda Mecca
49.1%

Draw
24.3%

Al Hazem
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

24.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

21.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda Mecca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Al Hazem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Al Wahda Mecca - Al Hazem Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Wahda will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Al Hazem will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Wahda: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munir (G) 2. Al Muwallad S. 22. Makki A. 17. Al Hafith A. 27. Hawsawi I. 4. Bakshween W. 76. Fajr F. 24. Noor A. 87. Anselmo 7. van Crooij V. 9. Ighalo O.	30. Dahmen A. (G) 3. Al Absi T. 2. Ricardo P. 36. Bruno Viana 27. Qasheesh M. 16. Al Juwaid A. 95. Al Mousa R. 93. Moreno J. 20. Toze 10. Selemani F. 90. Badamosi M.
Substitutes
16. Al Azizi N. 3. Al Bukhari A. 28. Al Eisa H. 90. Al Ghamdi H. 88. Al Haji A. 8. Al Qarni M. 13. Atiah A. (G) 80. Naji Y. 20. Nasser J.	88. Abusabaan M. 13. Al Bakr Y. 34. Al Dakheel A. 99. Al Mhemaid A. 6. Al Sayyali B. 7. Al Shammari Y. 11. Al Thani M. 94. Damen Al Ruwaili O. 23. Zaid I. (G)
Coaches
Donis G.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Al Juwaid A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Al Hafith A. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Selemani F. ⚽, Dahmen A. (A),
65', Bakshween W. ↓, Al Haji A. ↑,
66', Hawsawi I. ↓, Al Eisa H. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Badamosi M. ⚽, Al Mousa R. (A),
78', Noor A. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
85', Badamosi M. ↓, Al Shammari Y. ↑,
86', Moreno J. ↓, Al Thani M. ↑,
86', Al Muwallad S. ↓, Al Ghamdi H. ↑,
90+8', Ricardo P. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Wahda won 3.

Recent matches Al-Wahda is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Hazem has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Al-Wahda is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Wahda won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Wahda won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Professional League
20.04.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:0 ✺
Saudi Super Cup
08.04.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
05.04.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
02.04.24	Al-Feiha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Fateh	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTWL
- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
20.04.24	Al Hazem - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Al Raed - Al Hazem	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Al Hazem - Damac	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Al-Taawoun - Al Hazem	4:0 ✺
14.03.24	Al Hazem - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
05.11.23	Al Hazem - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2
09.09.20	Al Hazem - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2
24.01.20	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Hazem	5:1
28.01.19	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Hazem	1:1
30.08.18	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Hazem	0:0
Saudi Division 1
20.02.18	Al Hazem - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:0
24.10.17	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Hazem	2:1

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