Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 34

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
China	ZhiBo8
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Al-Wahda Mecca

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	3.3	3.6	2
	2.75	3.55	2.36
	2.57	3.68	2.57
	2.73	3.61	2.37	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2
	2.54	3.63	2.76	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.01)	3.53 ↓ (3.62)	2.36 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
33.5%

Draw
26.6%

Al-Wahda Mecca
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ettifaq Dammam's form might have worsened.

Al-Wahda Mecca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Wahda Mecca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ettifaq Dammam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Wahda Mecca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	30.8%	38.5%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Wahda Mecca Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Al-Wahda will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Wahda: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ettifaq (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Wahda (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Al-Ettifaq (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Al-Ettifaq (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ettifaq (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Al-Wahda (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 33. Al Olayan M. 70. Khateeb A. A. 4. Hendry J. 61. Al Otaibi R. 10. Medran A. 6. Ali M. 26. Jalal Al Salem 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 11. Gray D. 21. Radif A.	1. Al Owayshir A. (G) 22. Makki A. 5. El Yamiq J. 4. Bakshween W. (C) 49. Al Salem A. 35. Al Makahasi M. 8. Al Haji A. 10. Bacuna J. 18. Bguir S. 24. Noor A. 9. Ighalo O.
Substitutes
96. Al Haidari M. (G) 16. Al Kadi M. 88. Al Malki A. 24. Bamsaud A. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 36. Escobar J. 25. Hindi A. 3. Madu A. 14. Vitinho	13. Al Alaeli M. 28. Al Eisa H. 17. Al Hafith A. 47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 11. Amyn Y. 6. Cretu A. 23. Goodwin C. 77. Khodari M. 80. Naji Y.
Coaches
Al Shehri S.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', El Yamiq J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Radif A. ⚽, Al Olayan M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Bguir S. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
60', Al Salem A. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, El Yamiq J. ⚽, Makki A. (A),
75', Jalal Al Salem ↓, Vitinho ↑,
75', Gray D. ↓, Al Malki A. ↑,
84', Radif A. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
84', Al Olayan M. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Medran A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Wahda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ettifaq won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
22.05.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
17.05.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Damac	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTLWL
- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Professional League
21.05.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
15.05.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Wahda Mecca	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
01.05.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
25.01.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:2
20.04.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:0
28.10.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:3
09.03.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:1
01.10.22	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1
17.04.21	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1
01.01.21	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2

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