Match Info

Stars League - Round 20

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iraq	23:15	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Zawraa		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.8	6.9
	1.45	3.84	6.52
	1.45	4.05	6.41	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.44	3.84	6.79	Watch
	1.39	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	3.86 ↓ (4.1)	6.75 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
63.1%

Draw
23.5%

Al Mosul
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.5%

22.2%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

20.5%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Al Zawraa - Al Mosul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Riascos B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Zawraa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Zawraa is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Zawraa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Zawraa	11	5	3	3	15:9	6	18
14	Al Mosul	11	3	3	5	11:16	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
26.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Zawraa	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.02.26	Al Wasl - Al-Zawraa	4:2 ET ✺
10.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Wasl	3:2 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Zakho	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWW
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
21.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Minaa	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Duhok - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Al Mosul - Newroz	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Qasim - Al Mosul	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
31.10.25	Al Mosul - Al-Zawraa	1:3

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