Match Info

Stars League - Round 17

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al Mosul		Newroz

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.78	2.98
	2.38	3.1	2.75
	2.4	3.04	2.88
	2.38	2.9	2.8
	2.4	3.02	2.84	Watch
	2.36	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.28)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)	2.83 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Mosul
37.9%

Draw
30.2%

Newroz
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Al Mosul - Newroz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Ngah C. 🟥,
16', 0 - 1, Neto Acara ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Neto Acara ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Newroz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
01.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Qasim - Al Mosul	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Al Mosul	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Al Mosul - Al-Karma	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Mosul	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
31.01.26	Newroz - Diyala	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Newroz - Al-Karma	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Karkh - Newroz	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Al-Qasim - Newroz	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Newroz - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

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