Match Info

Stars League - Round 30

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Al-Zawraa		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.1	9.5
	1.32	4.1	9.8
	1.22	5.22	13.37
	1.23	4.87	15.01	Watch
	1.19	4.9	17.5	Watch
	1.37	4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	4.53 ↑ (3.8)	12.26 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
72.2%

Draw
20.3%

Naft Al-Basra
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

22.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Zawraa's performance.

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Al Zawraa - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Zawraa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', Hussien A. 🟥,
59', 1 - 0, Muhsen A. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Ibrahim ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Ibrahim ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 18).

Al-Zawraa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Naft Al-Basra has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Zawraa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Zawraa is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Zawraa to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Zawraa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Zawraa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
22.04.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
16.04.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karma	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Zawraa - Duhok	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLW
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
22.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Basra	3:1 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
05.12.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Zawraa	0:0
23.04.24	Al-Zawraa - Naft Al-Basra	3:0
10.02.23	Al-Zawraa - Naft Al-Basra	2:2
15.06.19	Al-Zawraa - Naft Al-Basra	2:1
07.04.13	Al-Zawraa - Naft Al-Basra	3:2

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