Match Info

Date: 12 May 2022, Thursday


	Alacranes de Durango		Mazorqueros

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.34	3.18	2.98
	2.36	3.36	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.33)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	2.68 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
38.8%

Draw
27.3%

Mazorqueros
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mazorqueros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazorqueros than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mazorqueros is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alacranes de Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alacranes de Durango won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.04.22	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Alacranes de Durango - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:4 ✺
01.04.22	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWTW
- Mazorqueros FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.05.22	Mazorqueros - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	1:0 penalties ✺
05.05.22	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Mazorqueros	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Mazorqueros - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 penalties ✺
27.04.22	Tritones Vallarta - Mazorqueros	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Mazorqueros - Escorpiones	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.02.22	Alacranes de Durango - Mazorqueros	1:1
12.12.21	Mazorqueros - Alacranes de Durango	0:2
09.12.21	Alacranes de Durango - Mazorqueros	0:0
09.04.21	Alacranes de Durango - Mazorqueros	4:0

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