Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	25.00	12.84	1.02	Watch
	6.35	3.86	1.5
	5.4	3.9	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.25 ↑ (5.03)	6.87 ↑ (4)	1.34 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
8.4%

Draw
15%

Alacranes de Durango
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.9%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.3%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mineros de Fresnillo's form might have worsened.

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alacranes de Durango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mineros de Fresnillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alacranes de Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
71', 1 - 4, ⚽,
75', 1 - 5, ⚽,
86', 1 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alacranes de Durango is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.11.25	La Piedad - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWLWW
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.11.25	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Alacranes de Durango - Zapotlanejo	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
11.10.25	La Piedad - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
03.10.25	Alacranes de Durango - Colima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.02.25	Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Fresnillo	4:2
11.10.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	2:3 penalties
19.04.24	Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Fresnillo	4:1
17.11.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	1:0
26.03.22	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	2:3
13.11.21	Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0
02.04.21	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	0:1

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