Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Alajuelense		Limon

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	13
	1.2	5.5	10.5
	1.18	5.4	12.5
	1.18	5.6	13
	1.19	7	19.24
	1.17	5.8	15
	1.19	6.55	14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.33)	5.91 ↑ (4.5)	13.89 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
77.7%

Draw
15.6%

Limon
6.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.9%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

11.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alajuelense's performance.

Limon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Limon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-37.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alajuelense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limon than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Limon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alajuelense - Limon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Clausura to Play Offs) and 10).

Alajuelense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Limon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Alajuelense have a series of guest games.

In this match Alajuelense is indisputable favorite.

Last 38 head-to-head matches Alajuelense won 21 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 61-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Alajuelense won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
06.03.21	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:5 ✺
03.03.21	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
28.02.21	Alajuelense - Sporting San José	3:0 ✺
21.02.21	Cartagines - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Jicaral - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTT
- Limon
Costa Rican Primera Division
06.03.21	Limon - Guadalupe	1:7 ✺
03.03.21	Limon - Herediano	0:2 ✺
28.02.21	San Carlos - Limon	0:3 ✺
20.02.21	Limon - Santos de Guápiles	3:2 ✺
14.02.21	Deportivo Saprissa - Limon	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
16.01.21	Limon - Alajuelense	0:2
05.12.20	Alajuelense - Limon	4:1
01.03.20	Limon - Alajuelense	1:0
12.01.20	Alajuelense - Limon	4:1
17.09.19	Alajuelense - Limon	2:1
25.07.19	Limon - Alajuelense	1:2
20.03.19	Alajuelense - Limon	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.11.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.10.26	Alajuelense - Motagua	✺

Alajuelense - Limon