Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+
Brazil	23:00	Disney+
Canada	22:00	OneSoccer
Chile	23:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+
Mexico	20:00	FOX One
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	21:00	Disney+
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Usa	22:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Concacaf GO, Paramount+
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+


	Alajuelense		Motagua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.10	4.00
	1.89	3.10	3.75	Watch
	1.89	3.15	4.80
	1.85	3.46	4.17	Watch
	1.85	2.90	4.75
	1.80	3.35	4.63	Watch
	1.92	3.20	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	4.29 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
49.5%

Draw
29%

Motagua
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Alajuelense - Motagua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 28. Sosa Y. 3. Gonzalez G. (C) 13. Gamboa A. 22. Matarrita R. 24. Salazar A. 14. Wilson R. 99. Michel K. 10. Juanpi 42. Ruiz J. 18. Cisneros R.	22. Ortiz L. (G) 35. Melendez C. (C) 34. Sacaza G. 4. Vega L. 17. Portillo J. 8. Melendez D. 5. Discua O. 23. Reyes A. 27. Macias J. 9. Moya J. 21. Batiz J.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 39. Cruz E. 11. Diaz L. 7. Hernandez A. 21. Molina Y. 1. Mora B. (G) 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 26. Pinar F. 15. Samadian F. 40. Velasquez D. (G) 9. Zaldivar A.	14. Barrios A. 3. Cacho P. 26. Crisanto L. 19. De Olivera R. 24. Garcia J. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 33. Izaguirre E. 25. Licona M. (G) 36. Marinacci V. 30. Miranda J. 80. Oliva D.
Coaches
Ramirez O.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Juanpi ⚽,
32', Matarrita R. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
39', Macias J. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Perez C. ⚽, Michel K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Batiz J. ↓, De Olivera R. ↑,
59', Juanpi ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
59', Cisneros R. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
65', Sacaza G. ↓, Cacho P. ↑,
65', Melendez D. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
65', Melendez C. ↓, Crisanto L. ↑,
71', Reyes A. ↓, Oliva D. ↑,
73', Zaldivar A. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Gamboa A. (Own goal),
81', Perez C. ↓, Molina Y. ↑,
90', Gomez R. 🟨,
90+2', Zaldivar A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

In this matchup, Alajuelense is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Alajuelense has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alajuelense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alajuelense - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.16%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
25.10.26	Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
22.10.26	Motagua - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
17.10.26	Inter San Carlos - Alajuelense	2:3 ✺
14.10.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTT
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.10.26	Motagua - Juticalpa	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
22.10.26	Motagua - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
17.10.26	Platense - Motagua	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Motagua - Choloma	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Real España - Motagua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
22.10.26	Motagua - Alajuelense	0:0
30.09.25	Motagua - Alajuelense	1:2
23.09.25	Alajuelense - Motagua	0:1
31.08.23	Alajuelense - Motagua	5:1

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