Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Alajuelense		Motagua

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.48	3.75	8.77
	1.53	4.20	5.51	Watch
	1.56	4.26	5.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	4.07 ↑ (3.28)	6.49 ↓ (7.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
62.2%

Draw
23.3%

Motagua
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

27.8%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

26.4%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Alajuelense - Motagua Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Motagua (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 26. Pinar F. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 13. Gamboa A. 22. Matarrita R. 5. Borges C. (C) 35. Parkins R. 21. Michel K. 18. Cisneros R. 34. Perez C. 7. Hernandez A.	22. Ortiz L. (G) 14. Argueta C. 2. Cardozo Coitinho S. 4. Vega L. 12. Santos M. (C) 10. Gomez R. 8. Melendez D. 17. Portillo J. 7. Serrano J. 29. John Kleber 77. Mejia C.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 99. Alvarez J. (G) 36. Badilla I. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 12. Campbell J. 11. Campos D. 33. Lucumi J. 1. Mora B. (G) 2. Paz D. 90. Rodriguez D. 42. Ruiz J. 24. Salazar A.	28. Avila A. 11. Cabrera M. 15. Castillo Y. 5. Discua O. 25. Licona M. (G) 27. Macias J. 21. Melendez L. 23. Nunez J. 34. Sacaza G. 31. Turcios-Castillo J. (G) 38. Vazquez M. 24. Velasquez E.
Coaches
Ramirez O.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Parkins R. 🟨,
14', Villalobos Alfaro G. 🟨,
15', Matarrita R. 🟥,
20', Cisneros R. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
31', Santos M. 🟨,
39', Gomez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mejia C. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
50', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
55', John Kleber ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
62', Michel K. ↓, Badilla I. ↑,
62', Hernandez A. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
71', Argueta C. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
77', Serrano J. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
77', Gomez R. ↓, Melendez L. ↑,
78', Parkins R. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
78', Perez C. ↓, Bran Flores A. J. ↑,
83', Melendez D. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, Vazquez M. ⚽, Macias J. (A),
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alajuelense is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alajuelense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Including home match between the teams, Alajuelense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.09.25	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
16.09.25	Alajuelense - San Carlos	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLW
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
20.09.25	Motagua - Juticalpa	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Platense - Motagua	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	3:3 ✺
10.09.25	Choloma - Motagua	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Motagua - Real España	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
31.08.23	Alajuelense - Motagua	5:1

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