Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Guadalupe		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	4.33	3.4	1.68
	4.65	3.45	1.7	Watch
	5.32	3.85	1.7
	4.82	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.62
	4.73	3.5	1.66	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↓ (4.78)	3.54 ↓ (3.59)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
19.3%

Draw
25.9%

Alajuelense
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

26%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

25.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Guadalupe - Alajuelense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Alajuelense (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alajuelense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Delgado J. (G) 31. Fajardo K. 2. Miranda R. 35. Mendez G. 5. Quiros W. 4. Guzman K. 32. Taylor S. 11. Angulo M. 10. Morales E. 27. Amador A. 79. Maleck J.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 24. Salazar A. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 25. van der Putten S. 22. Matarrita R. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 5. Borges C. (C) 33. Lucumi J. 34. Perez C. 18. Cisneros R. 9. Zaldivar A.
Substitutes
21. Bonilla B. 3. Espino N. 28. Gamez S. 99. Leal R. (G) 23. Lopez B. 12. Mclean K. 30. Morejon J. 34. Morera G. M. 24. Ramirez Poveda L. J. 14. Rojas H.	29. Aguilar D. 27. Alvarado J. 36. Badilla I. 37. Brown M. 10. Campbell J. 7. Hernandez A. 1. Mora B. (G) 2. Paz D. 8. Pilone M. 3. Quesada E.
Coaches
Wright M.	Ramirez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Zaldivar A. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Bran Flores A. J. ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Zaldivar A. ⚽,
45+1', Perez C. 🟨,
45+1', Quiros W. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 3, Zaldivar A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lucumi J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
46', Morales E. ↓, Morejon J. ↑,
60', Bran Flores A. J. 🟨,
62', Quiros W. ↓, Morera G. M. ↑,
67', Ortega Olivera W. J. 🟨,
68', Perez C. ↓, Pilone M. ↑,
68', Cisneros R. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
77', Matarrita R. 🟨,
80', Zaldivar A. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
82', Amador A. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 1.

Guadalupe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Alajuelense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Guadalupe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Alajuelense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalupe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Alajuelense	9	4	2	3	15:10	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
24.01.26	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Herediano - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Cartagines - Guadalupe	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLL
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
24.01.26	Alajuelense - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Cartagines - Alajuelense	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
15.01.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
20.09.25	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	0:0
03.08.25	Alajuelense - Guadalupe	1:0
07.05.23	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	3:2
03.03.23	Alajuelense - Guadalupe	4:0
31.08.22	Alajuelense - Guadalupe	1:0
06.08.22	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	1:3
10.04.22	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	0:2

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