The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagines 41.2%
Draw 30.3%
Alajuelense 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
35.3%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
34.2%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Cartagines - Alajuelense Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cartagines will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Briceno K. (C) 2. Cordero R. 15. Flores L. 13. Gaete J. 22. Hernandez A. 8. Lopez D. 17. Lopez Y. 20. Mesen D. 6. Montero C. 12. Quiros J. 9. Tepa
1. Mora B. (G) 5. Borges C. (C) 11. Diaz L. 22. Matarrita R. 21. Molina Y. 26. Pinar F. 42. Ruiz J. 24. Salazar A. 15. Samadian F. 14. Wilson R. 9. Zaldivar A.
Substitutes
26. Alfaro B. 18. Barahona C. 16. Castro G. 21. Cortes J. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 7. Moran M. 31. Morera G. M. 33. Moya C. (G) 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 39. Villalobos M.
29. Aguilar D. 18. Cisneros R. 10. Juanpi 33. Lucumi J. 99. Michel K. 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 28. Sosa Y. 32. Unmuth L. 40. Velasquez D. (G)
Coaches
Villatoro A.
Rescalvo I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Montero C. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 2 - 0, Samadian F. (Own goal),
29', Gaete J. ↓, Moran M. ↑,
34', Montero C. 🟨,
40', Lopez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Molina Y. ↓, Cisneros R. ↑,
46', Ruiz J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
46', Lopez Y. ↓, Barahona C. ↑,
63', Hernandez A. ↓, Alfaro B. ↑,
63', Wilson R. ↓, Juanpi ↑,
63', Zaldivar A. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
65', Diaz L. 🟨,
70', Matarrita R. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, Cisneros R. ⚽,
82', Lopez D. ↓, Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↑,
82', Tepa ↓, Olivas Salcedo L. A. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 1.
Cartagines has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Alajuelense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cartagines may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cartagines is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 11:34. (average 0.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cartagines won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Cartagines
9
6
0
3
18:10
8
18
5
Alajuelense
9
4
2
3
15:10
5
14
Last Results with these Odds
Cartagines - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.98%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.