Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles (Tegucigalpa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:00	Disney+
Brazil	22:00	Disney+
Canada	21:00	OneSoccer
Chile	22:00	Disney+
Colombia	20:00	Disney+
Mexico	19:00	FOX One
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	22:00	Disney+
Usa	21:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Concacaf GO, Paramount+
Venezuela	21:00	Disney+


	Motagua		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.90	3.00
	2.55	2.65	2.85
	2.39	3.03	3.14
	2.54	2.96	2.96	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.1
	2.52	3.19	2.78	Watch
	2.27	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.21)	2.95 ↓ (3.21)	2.98 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
38.2%

Draw
31%

Alajuelense
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Motagua - Alajuelense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ortiz L. (G) 26. Crisanto L. 34. Sacaza G. 4. Vega L. 17. Portillo J. 8. Melendez D. (C) 5. Discua O. 23. Reyes A. 27. Macias J. 19. De Olivera R. 21. Batiz J.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 28. Sosa Y. 3. Gonzalez G. (C) 13. Gamboa A. 42. Ruiz J. 5. Borges C. 14. Wilson R. 99. Michel K. 10. Juanpi 34. Perez C. 18. Cisneros R.
Substitutes
42. Argueta J. 14. Barrios A. 3. Cacho P. 24. Garcia J. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 33. Izaguirre E. 25. Licona M. (G) 36. Marinacci V. 30. Miranda J. 9. Moya J. 80. Oliva D.	29. Aguilar D. 44. Barley E. 39. Cruz E. 11. Diaz L. 7. Hernandez A. 21. Molina Y. 1. Mora B. (G) 35. Parkins R. 26. Pinar F. 24. Salazar A. 40. Velasquez D. (G) 9. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Ramirez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Borges C. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Batiz J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
70', Cisneros R. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
70', Juanpi ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
70', De Olivera R. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
83', Perez C. ↓, Barley E. ↑,
83', Michel K. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
85', Melendez D. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
85', Portillo J. ↓, Marinacci V. ↑,
90+3', Macias J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Alajuelense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Motagua is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Motagua has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Motagua against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
17.10.26	Platense - Motagua	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Motagua - Choloma	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Real España - Motagua	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
16.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Motagua	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.09.26	Motagua - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTW
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
17.10.26	Inter San Carlos - Alajuelense	2:3 ✺
14.10.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Alajuelense - Inter San Carlos	5:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
17.09.26	Alajuelense - CD Marathón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.09.25	Motagua - Alajuelense	1:2
23.09.25	Alajuelense - Motagua	0:1
31.08.23	Alajuelense - Motagua	5:1

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