Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.75
	2.02	2.75	3.75
	2.07	2.95	3.4
	2.17	3.09	3.83
	2.1	2.9	3.7
	2.11	2.93	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.44)	2.92 ↓ (2.94)	3.73 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
43.9%

Draw
31.5%

Nizhny Novgorod
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.8%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alania Vladikavkaz's performance.

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nizhny Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alania Vladikavkaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alania Vladikavkaz - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Alania is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nizhny Novgorod is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Alania have a series of home games.

Alania will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alania won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
25.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
21.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
11.11.20	Veles Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Baltika Kaliningrad	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTTW
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
25.11.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
21.11.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Bryansk	3:0 ✺
15.11.20	Irtysh Omsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
11.11.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Chertanovo	3:2 ✺
07.11.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
22.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
31.10.26	Dynamo Vladivostok - Alania Vladikavkaz	✺
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Cup
04.11.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Nizhny Novgorod	✺
Russian FNL
30.10.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula	✺

Alania Vladikavkaz - Nizhny Novgorod