The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shinnik 48.4%
Draw 27.2%
SKA Khabarovsk 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
26.8%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
26%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shinnik's form might have worsened.
SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA Khabarovsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shinnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA Khabarovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
66. Yanovich N. (G) 24. Azyavin I. 10. Gongapshev A. 49. Karaev M. 62. Karpov V. 53. Kotin N. 64. Lanin O. 88. Mironov D. 15. Samoylov D. (C) 54. Shmakov I. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
1. Shtepa M. (G) 10. Aliev K. (C) 6. Bagiev S. 84. Grebenkin Y. 77. Koryan A. 21. Maksimov M. 8. Markitesov D. 14. Mosin E. 29. Mukhin A. 4. Savichev K. 2. Zhirov A.
Substitutes
77. Antonov A. 19. Arbuzov Y. 27. Chernyi A. 50. Golubev A. 14. Kalinin G. 33. Lavrenkov A. 7. Martovoy D. 21. Pushkarev D. 95. Vambolt D. (G) 13. Yanov D.
9. Alcalde J. 5. Bliev E. 63. Borisov D. 37. Chirkov M. 17. Fomin D. 24. Gorelishvili M. 31. Nagaev D. (G) 91. Noskov E. 20. Shkolik I.
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.
Zhukov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Mosin E. 🟨,
17', Savichev K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mosin E. ↓, Shkolik I. ↑,
46', Mukhin A. ↓, Borisov D. ↑,
56', Valiakhmetov E. 🟨,
63', Samoylov D. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
63', Gongapshev A. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
63', Shmakov I. ↓, Golubev A. ↑,
65', Maksimov M. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
66', Koryan A. ↓, Gorelishvili M. ↑,
71', Grebenkin Y. 🟨,
80', Bagiev S. ↓, Bliev E. ↑,
83', Mironov D. ↓, Yanov D. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 18th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Shinnik has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, SKA Khabarovsk has had a run of games away from home.
Bookmakers give the edge to Shinnik for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shinnik has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:24 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shinnik against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:7 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Belarus
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Yanovich N. (G) 
Koryan A. 
Alcalde J. 
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