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Current Win Probability
Shinnik 41.8%
Draw 30.7%
KAMAZ 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
30%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
29.8%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shinnik's form might have worsened.
KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shinnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Shinnik - KAMAZ Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Shinnik will win (votes: 1 - 25%). KAMAZ will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
95. Vambolt D. (G) 49. Karaev M. 17. Valiakhmetov E. 53. Kotin N. 62. Karpov V. 64. Lanin O. 50. Golubev A. 15. Samoylov D. 54. Shmakov I. 24. Azyavin I. 10. Gongapshev A.
31. Anisimov A. (G) 27. Manuylov R. 67. Tkachuk R. 15. Burko M. 7. Ayukin R. 2. Khubaev D. 10. Zashchepkin R. 76. Sukhanov A. 79. Semenov V. 18. Popov A. 37. Voronin E.
Substitutes
19. Arbuzov Y. 33. Lavrenkov A. 7. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 21. Pushkarev D. 13. Yanov D. 66. Yanovich N. (G)
99. Akbashev R. 19. Bogdanets M. 8. Dolgopolov E. 65. Gulko I. 6. Kalistratov T. 11. Kokotun A. 83. Laykin M. 9. Moseychuk I. 13. Rybalchenko N. (G) 96. Shavel M. 22. Solodukhin A. 30. Zamerets E. (G)
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.
Khazov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Kotin N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Karaev M. 🟨,
58', Shmakov I. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
58', Samoylov D. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Zashchepkin R. ⚽,
62', Gongapshev A. ↓, Arbuzov Y. ↑,
62', Gongapshev A. ↓, Arbuzov Y. ↑,
63', Voronin E. ↓, Akbashev R. ↑,
71', Khubaev D. 🟨,
74', Semenov V. ↓, Bogdanets M. ↑,
74', Popov A. ↓, Laykin M. ↑,
76', Ayukin R. 🟨,
80', Karaev M. ↓, Lavrenkov A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', Manuylov R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 1.
Shinnik is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
KAMAZ is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Shinnik carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Shinnik has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shinnik against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Kamaz: 0.78% Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Shinnik Yaroslavl
12
3
7
2
15:13
2
16
16
Kamaz
12
2
3
7
11:19
-8
9
Last Results with these Odds
KAMAZ - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 22.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
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Vambolt D. (G) 
Burko M. 
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