Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 23

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu (Alanya)

Referee: Bayarslan V. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Alanyaspor		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.6
	1.98	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.7
	2.04	3.59	3.85
	1.91	3.6	3.5
	2.03	3.72	3.8	Watch
	1.97	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	3.66 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanyaspor
47.5%

Draw
26.7%

Pendikspor
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

24.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pendikspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pendikspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Alanyaspor - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 74.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taskiran E. (G) 94. Hadergjonaj F. 2. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. 29. Balkovec J. 25. Richard 8. Fer L. 11. Aydin O. 10. Novais J. 88. Ozdemir Y. 7. Karaca E.	1. Canpolat E. (G) 22. Ozgenc E. 33. Ozturk A. 14. Rassoul J. K. 6. Sequeira 11. Akbunar H. 58. Kaya G. 24. Akdag I. 27. Thiam M. 99. Yardimci E. 17. Nayir U.
Substitutes
20. Aksoy F. 26. Altintas E. 27. Augusto L. 35. Aygun Y. (G) 4. Bayir F. 28. Carlos Eduardo 21. Cavus E. 9. Cordova S. 17. Janvier N. 18. Sisto P.	13. Akca M. 61. Asan S. 78. Calik E. 21. Diaby A. 70. Guney M. 7. Kappel L. 35. Ogur B. (G) 25. Sayhan E. 20. Sulungoz B.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Vieira I.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Alanyaspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
23.01.24	Hatayspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Alanyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.01.24	Alanyaspor - Samsunspor	1:3 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Alanyaspor	3:2 ✺
09.01.24	Alanyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT
- Pendikspor
Turkish Super League
23.01.24	Pendikspor - Kasımpaşa	3:2 ✺
20.01.24	Pendikspor - Beşiktaş	4:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.01.24	Antalyaspor - Pendikspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Hatayspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
09.01.24	Pendikspor - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
02.09.23	Pendikspor - Alanyaspor	1:1

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