Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 34

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu (Alanya)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 2


	Alanyaspor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	9	Watch
	1.34	5.25	8
	1.33	5.25	8.4
	1.34	5.69	8.75
	1.34	5.69	8.75
	1.3	5.5	8.5
	1.36	5.69	8.55	Watch
	1.34	4.9	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)	5.37 ↑ (4.5)	8.42 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanyaspor
71%

Draw
17.7%

İstanbulspor
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.9%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Alanyaspor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taskiran E. (G) 94. Hadergjonaj F. 4. Bayir F. 5. Aliti F. 29. Balkovec J. 25. Richard 17. Janvier N. 11. Aydin O. 7. Karaca E. 88. Ozdemir Y. 9. Koka	59. Arda A. (G) 7. Sambissa D. 4. Yesil M. 14. Deli S. 23. Erdogan O. 66. Yasar A. 12. Mamadou M. 8. Temel V. 21. Duhaney D. 99. Laurentino J. 19. Gultekin E.
Substitutes
20. Aksoy F. 33. Anderson Silva 27. Augusto L. 42. Bahadir Y. 28. Carlos Eduardo 8. Fer L. 99. Karagoz Y. (G) 2. Lima N. 10. Novais J. 18. Sisto P.	1. Eser M. (G) 58. Mermerci D. 25. Polat Y. 20. Sahan O. 41. Samdanli T. 97. San E. A. 26. Serbest M. (G) 88. Traore D. 70. Vardar K. (G) 18. Vurusaner E. M.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Aydin O. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Janvier N. ⚽, Aydin O. (A),
19', Bayir F. 🟨,
28', 3 - 0, Janvier N. ⚽, Karaca E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bayir F. ↓, Aksoy F. ↑,
48', Yesil M. 🟨,
51', Erdogan O. 🟨,
53', Duhaney D. 🟨,
54', Deli S. 🟨,
55', 4 - 0, Balkovec J. ⚽, Janvier N. (A),
59', Janvier N. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
59', Richard ↓, Fer L. ↑,
67', 5 - 0, Koka ⚽, Ozdemir Y. (A),
68', Ozdemir Y. ↓, Sisto P. ↑,
73', Arda A. ↓, Serbest M. ↑,
73', Temel V. ↓, Sahan O. ↑,
73', Mamadou M. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
74', Sambissa D. ↓, Vardar K. ↑,
76', Karaca E. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
85', Erdogan O. ↓, Mermerci D. ↑,
90+3', 6 - 0, Aydin O. ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

İstanbulspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

Alanyaspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

İstanbulspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alanyaspor is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alanyaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
20.04.24	Konyaspor - Alanyaspor	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	0:4 ✺
02.04.24	Gaziantep - Alanyaspor	0:3 ✺
Friendly
24.03.24	Alanyaspor - Curaçao	2:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.03.24	Alanyaspor - Kayserispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTW
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
20.04.24	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Hatayspor - İstanbulspor	0:3 ✺
02.04.24	İstanbulspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:4 ✺
15.03.24	Pendikspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	İstanbulspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
10.12.23	İstanbulspor - Alanyaspor	0:1
05.02.23	İstanbulspor - Alanyaspor	2:1
27.08.22	Alanyaspor - İstanbulspor	0:1

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