Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Albacete Balompié		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.45	4.04
	1.99	3.4	3.93	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.75
	2.03	3.4	3.93	Watch
	2	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	3.34 ↓ (3.52)	3.85 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
47.4%

Draw
28.2%

Málaga
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Albacete Balompié - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Málaga (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Málaga (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 23. Pepe 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 16. Lazo J. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 6. Pacheco A. 22. Morcillo J. 7. Puertas A. 4. Agus Medina	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 36. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 12. Dotor C. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 10. Larrubia D. 17. Jauregi E. 11. Munoz J.
Substitutes
10. Betancor J. 26. Capi 19. Escriche D. 14. Garcia H. J. 3. Jogo 13. Lizoain R. (G) 2. Lorenzo 17. Melendez A. 5. Moreno J. 11. Valverde V. 18. Villar J.	7. Abaida H. 9. Chupe 2. Gabilondo J. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 16. Murillo D. 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Galilea E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Pepe ↓, Garcia H. J. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Lorenzo D. ⚽, Merino I. (A),
64', Jauregi E. ↓, Chupe ↑,
65', Munoz J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
67', Merino I. 🟨,
68', Lazo J. 🟨,
70', Neva C. ↓, Jogo ↑,
70', Lazo J. ↓, Valverde V. ↑,
70', Agus Medina ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
77', Dotor C. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
77', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
84', Rodriguez R. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
88', Puga C. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
90+1', Morcillo J. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Albacete is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Albacete: Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Villar J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Albacete Balompié - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Málaga - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	2:0
31.08.24	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	2:1
12.02.23	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	3:2
04.09.22	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:2
11.04.21	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	2:0
03.01.21	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	1:1
05.07.20	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	0:0

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