Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Finland	MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Málaga		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.05	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.27	3.08	3.7
	2.28	3.06	3.49	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.4
	2.29	3.16	3.46	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.13)	3.04 ↑ (3.01)	3.49 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
42.1%

Draw
30.9%

Zaragoza
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

31.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

32.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	33.3%	4.8%

Málaga - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Zaragoza (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 36. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 12. Dotor C. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 10. Larrubia D. 21. Nino A. 11. Munoz J.	1. Andrada E. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Insua P. 16. Radovanovic A. 15. Pomares C. 10. Guti R. 6. Bare K. 14. Francho 7. Soberon M. 21. Valery 19. Kodro K.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 26. Arriaza P. 9. Chupe 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 16. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.	24. Akouokou P. 12. Bakis S. 23. Cuenca M. A. 36. Gomes A. 9. Gomez D. 17. Moyano F. 8. Moya T. 31. Pinilla H. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 5. Tachi 3. Tasende D.
Coaches
Funes J.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Insua P. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Galilea E. ⚽,
29', Pomares C. 🟨,
39', Garcia V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Radovanovic A. ↓, Tachi ↑,
66', Pomares C. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
66', Valery ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
66', Lorenzo D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
73', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
73', Nino A. ↓, Chupe ↑,
76', Kodro K. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
76', Soberon M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
83', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
83', Dotor C. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
87', Galilea E. 🟨,
88', Tachi 🟨,
90+2', Lobete J. 🟨,
90+3', Recio A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Gomez D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Andrada E. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Málaga - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Málaga - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLT
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Granada - Zaragoza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2
17.11.24	Zaragoza - Málaga	0:0
20.02.23	Málaga - Zaragoza	3:0
19.11.22	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:1
05.02.22	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:1
16.10.21	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1
07.02.21	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2

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