Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Málaga		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.35	4.13
	1.93	3.44	4.11	Watch
	2	3.2	3.75
	1.97	3.44	3.94	Watch
	1.92	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	3.34 ↓ (3.52)	3.97 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
48.1%

Draw
28.2%

Albacete Balompié
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.3%	5.3%

Málaga - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Albacete (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Málaga will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Albacete (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 12. Dotor C. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 10. Larrubia D. 9. Chupe 11. Munoz J.	13. Lizoain R. (C) 15. Gamez F. 22. Lopez L. 8. Fernandez M. 24. Vallejo J. 3. Jogo 4. Agus Medina 6. Pacheco A. 17. Melendez A. 7. Puertas A. 19. Rubio A.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 21. Nino A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R.	27. Bernabeu D. 10. Betancor J. 16. Lazo J. 2. Lorenzo 5. Moreno J. 20. Obeng S. 23. Pepe 30. Ramos M. (G) 14. San Bartolome V. 11. Valverde V. 18. Villar J.
Coaches
Funes J.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Valverde V. ↑,
46', Jogo ↓, Bernabeu D. ↑,
49', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Rafita (A),
70', Gamez F. 🟨,
72', Rubio A. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
72', Gamez F. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
72', Puertas A. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
77', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
85', Lorenzo D. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
85', Galilea E. ↓, Montero J. ↑,
90', Dotor C. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
90+1', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
90+4', Juanpe 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Málaga is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Ochoa A. (Yellow Cards) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Albacete: Cedeno E. (Injury) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Marino D. (Back Injury) Neva C. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.26	Real Sociedad B - Málaga	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Málaga - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Mirandés - Málaga	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Córdoba - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWW
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	1:3
15.03.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	2:0
31.08.24	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	2:1
12.02.23	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	3:2
04.09.22	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:2
11.04.21	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	2:0
03.01.21	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	1:1

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