Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6, Dsports 9
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Ecuador	DSports 6, DSports 9
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Leonesa		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.92	3.25	2.35	Watch
	3.19	3.38	2.36
	3.22	3.29	2.23	Watch
	3.01	3.25	2.34	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.6)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	2.38 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
31.7%

Draw
28.9%

Albacete Balompié
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Leonesa - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Albacete will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Albacete (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leonesa (2.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Albacete (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 22. Pibe 28. Ojeda T. 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 10. Chacon L. 19. Sobrino R.	13. Lizoain R. (G) 2. Lorenzo 23. Pepe 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 22. Morcillo J. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 17. Melendez A. 16. Lazo J. 4. Agus Medina 7. Puertas A.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 11. Cortes P. 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 33. Larios J. 37. Luengo C. 2. Mboula J. 18. Paraschiv D. 26. Rafus A. (G) 15. Ribeiro L. 16. Ribeiro T.	10. Betancor J. 19. Escriche D. 15. Gamez F. 14. Garcia H. J. 3. Gomez J. 9. Marin H. 1. Marino D. (G) 5. Moreno J. 18. Villar J.
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Lazo J. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
74', Puertas A. 🟥,
75', Pibe ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
75', Collado D. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
81', Morcillo J. ↓, Gamez F. ↑,
82', Lorenzo ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
82', Rodriguez R. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
85', Chacon L. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
89', Agus Medina ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
90+2', Ojeda T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Leonesa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Albacete has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Leonesa: Fornos Q. (Injury) Maestre S. (Knee Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Albacete: Pacheco A. (Elbow Injury) Valverde V. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Garcia V. (Injury) Mboula J. (Inactive) Pibe (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leonesa - Castellón	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Santander - Leonesa	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
10.09.25	Alcorcón - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Leonesa - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WLWWT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Cádiz - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.18	Albacete Balompié - Leonesa	0:0
23.10.17	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.10.16	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ET

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