Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Referee: Eremitaggio E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	AlbinoLeffe		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.20
	2.1	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.46	3.2	3.2
	2.21	3.07	3.23	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3
	2.26	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.18	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	3.14 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
41%

Draw
29.8%

Alcione
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

AlbinoLeffe - Alcione Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Alcione (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcione (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baldi G. (G) 16. Gusu M. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 18. Orfei A. 17. Ciko S. 5. Mandelli A. 19. Agostinelli M. 77. Ballo L. 14. Sassi S. 70. Desogus J.	69. Nava L. (G) 5. Sadotti E. 25. Pirola F. 4. Miculi A. 19. Trapani N. 18. Lopes E. 23. Galli G. (C) 17. Braida A. 10. Pitou J. 11. Morselli F. 98. Zini L.
Substitutes
75. Botti M. 71. Colombi A. 32. Faggi F. 21. Franchini F. 91. Gamba N. 7. Garattoni A. 1. Generali F. (G) 8. Lombardi A. 22. Michielin M. (G) 3. Sciacca G. 24. Simonelli T. 9. Stanzani L. 33. Trapletti M.	56. Andreassi D. 2. Baldacchino S. 3. Chierichetti P. 6. Ciappellano D. 81. Gallazzi F. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 31. Marconi M. 67. Mocchi T. 8. Muroni M. 21. Parlati S. 20. Puzzoli G. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 30. Rebaudo R. 14. Rolfini A.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Cusatis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Braida A. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Mandelli A. ⚽, Desogus J. (A),
68', Ciko S. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
68', Desogus J. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
77', Galli G. ↓, Rebaudo R. ↑,
77', Lopes E. ↓, Lanzi J. ↑,
77', Braida A. ↓, Chierichetti P. ↑,
83', Pirola F. 🟨,
83', Orfei A. ↓, Sciacca G. ↑,
83', Gusu M. ↓, Colombi A. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Morselli F. ⚽,
90+1', Sassi S. ↓, Simonelli T. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

AlbinoLeffe is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, AlbinoLeffe has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AlbinoLeffe against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

AlbinoLeffe - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.4%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Alcione - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Juventus U23 - AlbinoLeffe	3:5 ✺
17.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Carpi	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLT
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:4 ✺
17.09.26	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	2:3 ✺
07.09.26	Alcione - Treviso	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Alcione	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.26	Alcione - AlbinoLeffe	2:1
20.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	2:0
18.04.25	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	1:0
08.12.24	Alcione - AlbinoLeffe	0:2

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