Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena


	Alcione		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.60	3.25	1.87
	3.7	3.25	1.92	Watch
	4.03	3.3	1.93
	3.78	3.37	1.9	Watch
	3.95	3.15	1.87
	3.89	3.15	1.87	Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.3)	3.25 ↑ (2.95)	1.9 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
24%

Draw
28%

Brescia
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

30%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

29.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+3%)

Alcione - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Nava L. (G) 5. Sadotti E. 25. Pirola F. 4. Miculi A. 3. Chierichetti P. 18. Lopes E. 23. Galli G. (C) 21. Parlati S. 11. Morselli F. 10. Pitou J. 98. Zini L.	43. Zacchi G. (G) 95. Sina S. 28. Silvestri L. 3. Rizzo A. 15. Casasola T. 6. Mercati A. 20. Zennaro M. 18. De Maria V. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Crespi V.
Substitutes
56. Andreassi D. 2. Baldacchino S. 17. Braida A. 6. Ciappellano D. 81. Gallazzi F. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 31. Marconi M. 67. Mocchi T. 8. Muroni M. 20. Puzzoli G. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 14. Rolfini A. 19. Trapani N.	72. Armanini F. 82. Armati L. 24. Boci B. 26. Frigerio M. R. 55. Grazioli N. (G) 44. Guglielmotti D. 1. Liverani L. (G) 14. Mallamo A. 5. Pasini N. 30. Pellegrini J. 4. Sorensen F. 91. Spagnoli A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Galli G. (Own goal),
10', 0 - 2, Crespi V. ⚽, De Maria V. (A),
20', Sina S. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sina S. ↓, Armati L. ↑,
46', Sadotti E. ↓, Braida A. ↑,
46', Lopes E. ↓, Trapani N. ↑,
63', Mercati A. 🟨,
65', Crespi V. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
65', Mercati A. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Zennaro M. ⚽,
77', Morselli F. ↓, Lione M. ↑,
78', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
86', Miculi A. ↓, Mocchi T. ↑,
87', Balestrero D. ↓, Armanini F. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Brescia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alcione has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alcione against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	2:3 ✺
07.09.26	Alcione - Treviso	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Alcione	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Alcione - Renate	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTTW
- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Brescia - Treviso	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Trento - Brescia	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Brescia - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Brescia - Giana Erminio	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Pergolettese - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:0
09.11.25	Brescia - Alcione	0:1

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