Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX


	AlbinoLeffe		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.15
	3.27	3.27	2.21
	1.60	3.38	6.55	Watch
	3.22	3.1	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.4)	3.24 ↑ (3.06)	3.27 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
36.5%

Draw
31.9%

Cittadella
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

AlbinoLeffe - Cittadella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Chiara S. (G) 4. Potop S. 30. Baroni R. 28. Gusu M. 7. Garattoni A. 8. Lombardi A. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. 20. Ambrosini M. 99. Sarr A. M. 10. De Paoli A.	69. Zanellati A. (G) 30. De Zen R. 55. Redolfi A. 18. Pavan N. 19. D'Alessio F. 5. Barberis A. 15. Verna L. 23. Egharevba D. 16. Vita A. 17. Gaddini M. 99. Castelli D.
Substitutes
19. Agostinelli M. 21. Angeloni M. 6. Astrologo A. 2. Barba B. 27. Boloca G. 26. Bonfanti R. (G) 58. Brighenti R. 46. Carrara 79. Lekaj K. 42. Lupinetti T. 11. Sali G. 23. Sottini E. 34. Svidercoschi S.	90. Bunino C. 10. Casolari F. 25. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 9. Diaw D. 6. Djibril A. 44. Gatti R. 40. Gobbato M. 77. Ihnatov E. 78. Maniero L. (G) 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 22. Squizzato

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mandelli A. ⚽,
26', Parlati S. 🟨,
42', Gaddini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Redolfi A. ↓, Gatti R. ↑,
46', Verna L. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
62', D'Alessio F. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
66', Sarr A. M. ↓, Lupinetti T. ↑,
66', Mandelli A. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
67', Gaddini M. ↓, Ignatov E. ↑,
71', Gatti R. 🟨,
73', Barberis A. ↓, Casolari F. ↑,
74', Garattoni A. ↓, Boloca G. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Pavan N. ⚽,
81', Ambrosini M. ↓, Sali G. ↑,
81', De Paoli A. ↓, Barba B. ↑,
82', Baroni R. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Sali G. ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Cittadella is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
14.09.25	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Pro Vercelli - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
15.09.25	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Pergolettese - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Cittadella - Alcione	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Virtus Verona - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Ravenna - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Cittadella - AlbinoLeffe	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
05.03.16	Cittadella - AlbinoLeffe	1:0
24.10.15	AlbinoLeffe - Cittadella	2:0

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