Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Motta S. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.98
	3.4	3.15	2.05
	3.93	3.23	2.08
	3.63	3.19	2.09	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.05
	3.42	3.42	2.07	Watch
	3.8	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.7)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
26.1%

Draw
28.8%

Liverpool Montevideo
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albion Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Liverpool will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 34. Pereira A. 17. de los Santos M. 24. Burdin E. 27. Alvarez J. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. (C) 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 10. Airala C. 32. Figueroa T. 11. Toledo H.	25. Campana M. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 3. Strasorier S. 15. Laquidain S. 27. Romero D. 20. Rabunal M. 29. Olivera E. 16. Acosta L. 7. Martinez F. 9. Machado R. 31. Barcelo F.
Substitutes
30. Acosta B. 2. Couture F. 70. Gonzalez P. 13. Lacoste P. 7. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 9. Lopez A. 29. Puente F. 79. Roldan N. 25. Romero A.	32. Barrenechea F. 11. Bentancourt R. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 28. Castillo J. 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 5. Garayalde N. 34. Lewis K. 8. Mir M. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Nieves F.	Speranza C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', Toledo H. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Barcelo F. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Romero D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ginella F. 🟨,
61', Acosta L. ↓, Garayalde N. ↑,
61', Martinez F. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
62', Figueroa T. 🟨,
63', Toledo H. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
72', Airala C. 🟨,
76', Barcelo F. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
76', Machado R. ↓, Bentancourt R. ↑,
77', Figueroa T. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
77', Ginella F. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
77', Rodriguez Trezza L. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
77', Alvarez J. ↓, Leonardo Pais ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Lopez A. ⚽,
83', Pereira A. 🟨,
90+2', Rabunal M. ↓, Lewis K. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Liverpool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
18.01.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	2:1 penalties ✺
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLW
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ET ✺
07.11.25	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.08.22	Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
19.07.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:0
13.02.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	4:0

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