Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 24

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Rentistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.78	3.4
	2.27	2.85	3.54
	2.33	2.75	3.54	Watch
	2.29	3.05	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.94)	2.94 ↓ (3.25)	3.51 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
42%

Draw
31.6%

Rentistas
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albion Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Albion Montevideo - Rentistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rentistas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Burruzo M. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Burruzo M. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Roldan N. ⚽,
45', 4 - 0, Roldan N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 0.

Recent form of Albion has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rentistas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rentistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Albion will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Albion won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.25	La Luz - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.10.25	Plaza Colonia - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Colón Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTLW
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.10.25	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Rampla Juniors - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Central Español - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.07.25	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	2:2
19.04.25	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	0:0
09.11.24	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	1:1
21.07.24	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1
28.08.23	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	1:0
06.05.23	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	3:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.07.22	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	2:4

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