Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Albion Rovers		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.5	3.5	2.35
	2.61	3.54	2.51
	2.6	3.25	2.45
	2.62	3.44	2.48
	2.65	3.35	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.24)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	2.41 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Rovers
35.3%

Draw
26.8%

Stenhousemuir
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.2%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

25.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albion Rovers's performance.

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stenhousemuir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albion Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stenhousemuir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Albion Rovers - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Albion won 0.

Albion is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stenhousemuir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Albion won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 32-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Albion won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Rovers
Scottish League Two
15.04.23	Annan Athletic - Albion Rovers	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Albion Rovers - Elgin City	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Albion Rovers - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:1 ✺
21.03.23	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two
15.04.23	Stenhousemuir - Stirling Albion	0:1 ✺
11.04.23	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Stenhousemuir - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Dumbarton - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
18.02.23	Stenhousemuir - Albion Rovers	2:0
29.10.22	Albion Rovers - Stenhousemuir	2:2
30.07.22	Stenhousemuir - Albion Rovers	1:0
16.04.22	Stenhousemuir - Albion Rovers	4:1
08.01.22	Albion Rovers - Stenhousemuir	1:2
09.11.21	Stenhousemuir - Albion Rovers	3:1
07.08.21	Albion Rovers - Stenhousemuir	2:2

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