Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 25

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Elgin City		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.8
	3.9	3.4	1.77
	4.2	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.82	3.3	1.76
	4.61	3.52	1.8
	4	3.5	1.73
	4.3	3.5	1.79
	3.75	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.74)	3.5 ↓ (4)	1.79 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elgin City
22.6%

Draw
26.2%

Stenhousemuir
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.1%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.2%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stenhousemuir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stenhousemuir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elgin City - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. McHale T. (G) 12. Cairns O. 5. Dolzanski J. 23. Draper R. 3. Booth L. 7. Dingwall R. 4. Gallagher M. 8. Cameron B. 15. Bray K. 9. Golding D. 11. Dangana M.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 18. Lynch E. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 15. Stirling B. 14. Bilham K. 16. O'Reilly E. 17. Anderson M. 6. Wedderburn N. 20. Jacobs Ky. 9. Aitken M. 10. Yates M.
Substitutes
24. Ewan C. 19. Jamieson M. 18. Jeffreys F. 10. Jones R. 21. Kelly O. (G) 22. MacLeman R. 17. Taylor M.	8. Berry J. 11. Brown A. 7. Kirkpatrick J. 34. Lyle C. (G) 2. Meechan R. 80. Rodden B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elgin won 1.

Recent matches Elgin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stenhousemuir is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elgin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stenhousemuir is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Elgin won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Elgin won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
10.02.24	Spartans - Elgin City	1:2 ✺
06.02.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Elgin City - East Fife	1:0 ✺
30.01.24	Elgin City - Clyde	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Elgin City - Dumbarton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWWL
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two
10.02.24	East Fife - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Stenhousemuir - Dumbarton	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Stenhousemuir - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Spartans - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
23.12.23	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	2:0
24.10.23	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	1:1
11.04.23	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	1:1
28.01.23	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	2:0
03.12.22	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	2:1
17.09.22	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	3:3
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.08.22	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	3:1

Upcoming Matches