Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.1	5.75
	1.48	4.2	6.25
	1.44	4.3	6.2
	1.46	4.67	7.1
	1.42	4	6.5
	1.45	4.55	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	4.33 (4.33)	6.41 ↓ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
64%

Draw
21.5%

Ryūkyū
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

20.3%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: Albirex Niigata will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 3.

Niigata is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ryūkyū is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Niigata is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Niigata won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
03.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Tochigi - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
06.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWT
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
03.09.22	Ryūkyū - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Mito HollyHock - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Ryūkyū - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
06.08.22	Ventforet Kofu - Ryūkyū	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.04.22	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	1:1
27.11.21	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	1:1
30.05.21	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	2:1
30.09.20	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	0:1
23.08.20	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	1:0
27.07.19	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	4:0
25.05.19	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	2:1

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