Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Alcalá		Villaviciosa de Odón

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.4	7.4
	1.31	4.49	8.03
	1.29	5	8.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.42)	4.63 ↑ (3.58)	8.11 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcalá
69.4%

Draw
19.5%

Villaviciosa de Odón
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

22%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

Villaviciosa de Odón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaviciosa de Odón than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villaviciosa de Odón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcalá is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villaviciosa de Odón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcalá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcalá is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.04.22	Alcalá - Villaverde San Andrés	2:0 ✺
14.04.22	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Alcalá - Ursaria	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Parla - Alcalá	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Alcalá - CDE Madrid	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLL
- AD Villaviciosa de Odón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.04.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Complutense Alcalá	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Moratalaz - Villaviciosa de Odón	3:4 ✺
14.04.22	Torrejón - Villaviciosa de Odón	3:3 ✺
03.04.22	Villaverde San Andrés - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:3 ✺
27.03.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.01.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Alcalá	0:1

Upcoming Matches