Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Tenerife		Zamora

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.25
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.52	3.75	6.1
	1.55	3.57	7.05
	1.25	5.26	12.06	Watch
	1.53	3.64	6.57
	1.48	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.3)	3.92 ↓ (5.1)	6.94 ↓ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
63%

Draw
23.7%

Zamora
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

17.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

17%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-2%)

Tenerife - Zamora Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 5. Calavera J. 9. de Miguel J. 18. Enric (C) 10. Gil N. 22. Gonzalez A. 6. Juanjo 12. Landazuri A. 20. Manjam A. 2. Rodriguez D. 3. Zoilo A.	1. Sobron F. (G) 4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 9. Eslava J. 6. Garcia M. 7. Kike 16. Lozano M. 8. Lucero R. 3. Merchan D. 5. Ruiz E.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez C. 15. Fabricio 29. Fernandez D. 23. Jorge J. 4. Leon J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 8. Perez J. 28. Sabina F.	26. Alvaro (G) 20. Codina M. 18. Farrell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 10. Ramos C. 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Athuman I. 🟥,
8', Enric (Pen),
8', Buron L. ↓, Luengo Herrera L. M. ↑,
22', 🟨,
31', Garcia M. 🟨,
40', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Enric ⚽,
45+5', Enric 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
46', Manjam A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
46', Juanjo ↓, Perez J. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Merchan D. ⚽,
58', Carbonell J. ↓, Codina M. ↑,
72', 🟨,
75', Enric ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
75', Calavera J. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
82', 2 - 1, de Miguel J. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
85', Kike ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
85', Eslava J. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
85', Merchan D. ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
90+9', 3 - 1, Gil N. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Tenerife is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zamora is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tenerife is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tenerife won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Tenerife - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pontevedra - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Tenerife - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	CD Guadalajara - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.09.25	Zamora - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Zamora - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Zamora - Amorebieta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 penalties

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