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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 13.6%
Draw 20.3%
Tenerife 66.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.9%
28.1%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
27%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tenerife's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Madrid Castilla - Tenerife Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 2. Jimenez D. 15. Martinez J. 5. Serrano M. 4. Rivas M. 20. Fortuny P. 8. Angel M. 14. Cestero Sancho J. 10. Palacios C. 11. Iglesias Lois B. 9. Zuniga L.
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 22. Gonzalez A. 4. Leon J. 3. Zoilo A. 20. Manjam A. 16. Sanz A. 6. Juanjo 10. Gil N. 9. de Miguel J. 18. Enric
Substitutes
33. Castrelo G. 24. Fati L. 28. Martin R. 36. Moya A. 29. Ortega J. 13. Sunico G. (G) 3. Valdepenas V. 7. Yanez D.
19. Alvarez C. 5. Calavera J. 29. Fernandez D. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 82. Perez J. 28. Sabina F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, de Miguel J. ⚽,
28', Serrano M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, de Miguel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Martin R. ↑,
46', Iglesias Lois B. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
55', Serrano M. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
58', Manjam A. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
58', Enric ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
67', Fortuny P. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Martin R. ⚽,
71', Juanjo ↓, Perez J. ↑,
75', Perez J. 🟨,
82', de Miguel J. 🟨,
83', Angel M. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
86', de Miguel J. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
86', Gil N. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
88', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
90+6', Fati L. 🟨,
Preview
Recent form of Real Madrid Castilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tenerife is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tenerife is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Czech-republic
Greece
Spain
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Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 
Zuniga L. 
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