Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 20

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)


	Alcione		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.7
	4.5	3.6	1.72
	4.73	3.59	1.7
	4.65	3.66	1.73	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.58	3.55	1.67	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.24)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	1.71 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
20.4%

Draw
25.9%

Atalanta U23
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29.4%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

30%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atalanta U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Alcione - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 25. Pirola F. 37. Stabile G. 20. Dimarco C. 80. Bagatti N. 4. Piccinocchi M. 21. Bright K. 33. Invernizzi A. 96. Palombi S. 31. Marconi M.	1. Pardel P. (G) 3. Del Lungo T. 15. Obric R. 37. Navarro A. 25. Scheffer M. 8. Gyabuaa M. (C) 10. Panada S. 33. Bernasconi L. 26. Alessio F. 31. Cassa F. 99. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
22. Agazzi F. (G) 94. Bertolotti F. 23. Bertoni L. 8. Bonaiti S. 19. Caremoli T. 6. Ciappellano D. 14. Foglio C. 16. Lanzi J. 7. Mazzola G. 10. Palma A. 77. Pessolani G. 17. Pio Loco A. 29. Samele L.	34. Artesani N. 30. Bertini T. (G) 13. Comi P. 77. Dajcar M. (G) 5. Kraja E. 21. Manzoni A. 6. Masi A. 7. Muhameti E. 20. Renault G. 39. Sodero A. 93. Soppy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Invernizzi A. 🟨,
32', Gyabuaa M. 🟨,
41', Stabile G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Scheffer M. 🟨,
73', Marconi M. ↓, Samele L. ↑,
73', Invernizzi A. ↓, Bertoni L. ↑,
75', Scheffer M. ↓, Soppy B. ↑,
80', Obric R. 🟨,
84', Samele L. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Alcione is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atalanta U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atalanta U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atalanta U23 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
14.12.24	Giana Erminio - Alcione	0:2 ✺
08.12.24	Alcione - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
29.11.24	FeralpiSalò - Alcione	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Alcione - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Pergolettese - Alcione	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WLTWW
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
14.12.24	Atalanta U23 - Lecco	5:2 ✺
11.12.24	Atalanta U23 - Union Clodiense	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
04.12.24	Padova - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Atalanta U23 - Caldiero Terme	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.08.24	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	1:2

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