Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 15

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Padova		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.67	3.65	4.8
	1.63	3.75	5.19
	1.65	3.77	5.2	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.75
	1.62	3.64	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	3.67 ↑ (3.57)	4.88 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
56.1%

Draw
25.1%

Atalanta U23
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

24.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Padova - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 20. Bortolussi M. 17. Capelli A. 6. Crisetig L. 2. Delli Carri F. 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 26. Kirwan N. (C) 21. Liguori M. 5. Perrotta M.	30. Bertini T. (G) 26. Alessio F. 66. Bergonzi F. 33. Bernasconi L. 31. Cassa F. 3. Del Lungo T. 8. Gyabuaa M. (C) 37. Navarro A. 15. Obric R. 10. Panada S. 99. Vlahovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Perrotta M. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Fusi P. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Alessio F. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
61', Cassa F. ↓, Artesani N. ↑,
61', Fusi P. 🟨,
62', Fusi P. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
62', Bortolussi M. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
67', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
68', Bergonzi F. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Del Lungo T. ⚽,
79', Capelli A. ↓, Russini S. ↑,
79', Gyabuaa M. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
84', Navarro A. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Padova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atalanta U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Padova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
01.12.24	Padova - Triestina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Padova - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Lecco - Padova	0:3 ✺
11.11.24	Padova - Novara	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Pergolettese - Padova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWWW
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Atalanta U23 - Caldiero Terme	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Atalanta U23 - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	FeralpiSalò - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
29.10.24	Atalanta U23 - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Vicenza Virtus - Atalanta U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.04.24	Padova - Atalanta U23	2:0
09.12.23	Atalanta U23 - Padova	0:1

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