Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Alcione		Real Forte Querceta

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.27	2.46	3.79
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.22	2.85	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.39)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)	3.37 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
42%

Draw
31.1%

Real Forte Querceta
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

22.3%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.

Real Forte Querceta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Forte Querceta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Forte Querceta than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Forte Querceta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcione - Real Forte Querceta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alcione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcione will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.02.22	Mezzolara - Alcione	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Alcione - Progresso	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Borgo San Donnino - Alcione	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Alcione - Tritium	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Sammaurese - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTWL
- Real Forte Querceta
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.03.22	Sammaurese - Real Forte Querceta	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Real Forte Querceta - Rimini	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Real Forte Querceta	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Real Forte Querceta - Aglianese	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Mezzolara - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
24.10.21	Real Forte Querceta - Alcione	1:1

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