Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Alcione		Progresso

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	2.95
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.37	2.95	2.85
	2.34	3.02	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.77)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
38.8%

Draw
30.7%

Progresso
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

21.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progresso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcione - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Alcione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.02.22	Borgo San Donnino - Alcione	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Alcione - Tritium	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Sammaurese - Alcione	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Alcione - Prato	0:3 ✺
30.01.22	Forlì - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLLL
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.02.22	Progresso - Rimini	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Progresso	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Progresso - Aglianese	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Mezzolara - Progresso	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Progresso - Correggese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
16.10.21	Progresso - Alcione	1:1

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