Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Alcione		Virtus CiseranoBergamo

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.3	4
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.83	3.24	3.9
	1.67	3.4	4.33
	1.82	3.44	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)	3.34 ↑ (3.34)	4.03 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
50.5%

Draw
27.1%

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Alcione - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 7).

Alcione is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alcione to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.02.23	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Caronnese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Alcione - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Brusaporto - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.02.23	Lumezzane - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Franciacorta	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Varese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Alcione	0:4

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