Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
World	Onefootball


	Alcione		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.65
	5.3	3.35	1.62
	6.05	3.5	1.62
	5.5	3.56	1.65
	5	3.35	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↓ (5.84)	3.41 ↓ (3.73)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
17.2%

Draw
26.9%

Vicenza Virtus
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

24.5%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

24.5%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alcione - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vicenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Vicenza (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Vicenza (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vicenza (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 73. Scuderi G. 65. Giorgeschi S. 6. Ciappellano D. 25. Pirola F. 7. Renault G. 23. Galli G. 70. Bright K. 10. Pitou J. 30. Zamparo L. 11. Morselli F.	16. Gagno R. (G) 27. Sandon T. 6. Leverbe M. 14. Cuomo G. 28. Caferri L. 99. Vitale M. 4. Carraro M. 77. Rada A. 32. Costa F. 9. Morra C. 10. Capello A.
Substitutes
1. Cecchini F. (G) 81. Gallazzi F. 33. Invernizzi A. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 5. Miculi A. 8. Muroni M. 21. Olivieri D. 96. Palombi S. 17. Rebaudo R. 29. Samele L.	24. Alessio F. 23. Benassai F. 22. Bianchi 18. Broggian E. 8. Cavion M. 21. Cester S. 76. Fantoni N. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 26. Pellizzari G. 7. Rauti N. 11. Stuckler D. 44. Talarico R. 33. Vescovi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Rada A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Renault G. ↓, Invernizzi A. ↑,
49', Leverbe M. 🟨,
53', Rada A. ↓, Pellizzari G. ↑,
60', 🟨,
68', Morra C. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
68', Capello A. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
70', Galli G. 🟨,
74', Scuderi G. 🟨,
77', Samele L. ↓, Marconi M. ↑,
77', Galli G. ↓, Lopes E. ↑,
83', Vitale M. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Alcione is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vicenza Virtus is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Vicenza Virtus is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.25	Ospitaletto - Alcione	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alcione	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Alcione - Renate	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Alcione	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTTW
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.25	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Vicenza Virtus - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
26.01.25	Vicenza Virtus - Alcione	4:1
21.09.24	Alcione - Vicenza Virtus	1:2

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