Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 1

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alcione		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	2.80	2.55
	2.62	2.82	2.72	Watch
	2.78	2.91	2.76
	2.73	2.83	2.73	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.67	2.75	2.67	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.35)	2.82 ↑ (2.81)	2.69 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
34%

Draw
32.3%

Renate
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

32.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Alcione - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Nava L. (G) 5. Sadotti E. 25. Pirola F. 4. Miculi A. 3. Chierichetti P. 18. Lopes E. 23. Galli G. 21. Parlati S. 10. Pitou J. 11. Morselli F. 31. Marconi M.	1. Anacoura J. (G) 2. De Zen R. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 47. Kerrigan L. 14. Cali M. 10. Careccia S. 11. Delcarro A. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 9. Karlsson O. 7. Italeng J.
Substitutes
2. Baldacchino S. 17. Braida A. 6. Ciappellano D. 16. Lanzi J. 67. Mocchi T. 96. Palombi S. 20. Puzzoli G. 1. Raffaelli 19. Trapani N. 7. Zamparo L. 98. Zini	92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 29. Botrini T. 77. De Leo L. 8. Dore S. 72. Mastromonaco G. 24. Minotti G. 22. Rossi A. (G) 33. Tempre M. 25. Vassallo F. 4. Vigano F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', Cali M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Marconi M. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Karlsson O. ⚽,
35', Sadotti E. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Pitou J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Auriletto S. 🟨,
64', Galli G. 🟨,
65', Cali M. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
68', Marconi M. ↓, Braida A. ↑,
73', De Zen R. 🟨,
76', Galli G. ↓, Ciappellano D. ↑,
76', Delcarro A. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
76', Ruiz Giraldo P. ↓, Vigano F. ↑,
83', Morselli F. ↓, Palombi S. ↑,
83', Chierichetti P. ↓, Trapani N. ↑,
88', De Zen R. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Braida A. ⚽,
90+5', Lopes E. 🟨,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Alcione - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Alcione - Novara	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.26	Mantova - Alcione	6:2 ✺
22.07.26	Torino - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
03.05.26	Lumezzane - Alcione	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Alcione - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTW
- AC Renate
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
13.05.26	Renate - Casarano	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Casarano - Renate	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Renate - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Trento - Renate	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.26	Renate - Alcione	1:0
21.09.25	Alcione - Renate	1:1
11.01.25	Renate - Alcione	0:1
07.09.24	Alcione - Renate	0:1

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