Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Ospitaletto		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.68
	2.74	3	2.88
	2.58	2.95	2.87	Watch
	2.53	3	2.63	Watch
	2.89	3.02	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.91)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	2.69 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
34.6%

Draw
30.9%

Alcione
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.9%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Ospitaletto - Alcione Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 13. Sinn L. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 16. Gualandris M. 43. Guarneri M. 26. Mondini G. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 99. Bertoli M. 9. Gobbi F.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 5. Miculi A. 6. Ciappellano D. 25. Pirola F. 73. Scuderi G. 33. Invernizzi A. 70. Bright K. 23. Galli G. 10. Pitou J. 30. Zamparo L. 11. Morselli F.
Substitutes
22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 14. Contessi A. 24. Diop S. 45. Mazza L. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 11. Pavanello A. 74. Pollio D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 33. Sina S. 21. Torri A.	94. Bertolotti F. 1. Cecchini F. (G) 81. Gallazzi F. 65. Giorgeschi S. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 67. Mocchi T. 8. Muroni M. 21. Olivieri D. 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G. 29. Samele L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Guarneri M. 🟨,
54', Bright K. 🟨,
58', Invernizzi A. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
58', Bright K. ↓, Lopes E. ↑,
61', Scuderi G. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Pirola F. ⚽,
73', Sinn L. ↓, Pollio D. ↑,
73', Guarneri M. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
74', Scuderi G. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
75', Mondini G. 🟨,
79', Messaggi C. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
79', Bertoli M. ↓, Nagrudnyi V. ↑,
81', Possenti M. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
85', Zamparo L. ↓, Samele L. ↑,
88', Mondini G. ↓, Torri A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Renate - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lumezzane - Ospitaletto	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ospitaletto - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ospitaletto - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLLTT
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alcione	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Alcione - Renate	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Alcione	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Cittadella - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWL

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