Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Alcione		Villa Valle

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2.03	3.26	3.28
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.71)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.43 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
45.2%

Draw
28.4%

Villa Valle
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alcione - Villa Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alcione will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Villa Valle will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 9).

Alcione in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Villa Valle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alcione to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.22	Arconatese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	Alcione - Breno	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Real Calepina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Alcione - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Seregno - Alcione	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTWW
- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.22	Villa Valle - Casatese	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Villa Valle - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Franciacorta - Villa Valle	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Villa Valle - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTWL

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