Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Alcorcón		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.84	3.13	4.81
	1.9	2.99	4.78	Watch
	1.83	2.88	4.33
	1.8	3.04	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	3.01 ↓ (3.03)	4.58 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
49.7%

Draw
30.3%

Algeciras
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

29%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Alcorcón - Algeciras Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcorcón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 22. Blanco R. 5. Rai 10. Ballesteros Y. 8. Martinez B. 11. Kopotun V. 17. Ouhdadi O.	1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 6. Mayorga A. 16. Gomez A. 11. Sanchez T. 7. Rastrojo J. 20. Alamo J. 24. Castro O. 19. Obeng I. 21. Garcia J. 10. Garrido D.
Substitutes
18. Aguado T. 7. Aparicio E. 35. Arcos D. 9. Carmona M. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 3. Nieto S. 19. Pola J. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N. 14. Vacas L.	17. Aviles J. 13. Casado S. (G) 4. Coch A. 9. Gonzaga M. 3. Marquez J. 14. Nader A. 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V. 8. Turrillo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Adot Barandiaran P. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Garcia J. 🟨,
56', Garrido D. 🟨,
57', Rojas J. 🟨,
58', Martinez B. 🟨,
58', Martinez B. ↓, Carmona M. ↑,
62', Obeng I. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
62', Garrido D. ↓, Turrillo I. ↑,
70', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
70', Kopotun V. ↓, Vacas L. ↑,
75', Garcia J. 🟨,
75', Garcia J. 🟥,
83', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
83', Rai ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
85', Moreno I. 🟨,
90+8', Gomez A. 🟨,
90+8', Sanchez T. 🟨,
90+8', Marquez J. 🟨,
90+9', Turrillo I. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

Recent performances by Alcorcón have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Algeciras's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alcorcón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcorcón is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.03.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Alcorcón - Betis B	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTWT
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.03.26	Antequera - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sabadell - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Algeciras - Teruel	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Marbella - Algeciras	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Algeciras - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0
13.04.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	2:0
24.11.24	Alcorcón - Algeciras	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.04.23	Algeciras - Alcorcón	0:0
19.11.22	Alcorcón - Algeciras	2:0

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